DETERMINATION AND EVALUATION OF MAXIMUM WIND OF CYCLONE EYE

Abstract

In this study, I aimed at studying for the better understanding of how the center of a tropical cyclone, the drop in pressure at its core, and the radius of maximum wind (RMW) are connected. To achieve this , I analyzed the historical cyclone data and used mathematical models to uncover patterns and relationships between these factors. The accuracy of the novel estimation method is tested it using three different statistical tools: error percentage, the t-test, and root mean square error (RMSE). The results are compelling - my proposed method yields a mean absolute error percentage ranging from about 6% to 32%. This level of precision markedly surpasses that of existing RMW estimation approaches, which have much wider error ranges, from 13% all the way up to 128%, when checked against the best available data from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).